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Adam Bales

Australian National University

Functionalist What matters is the organisation of the processing, not the material

Position on AI consciousness

Bales's contribution to the 2026 framework reflects a decision-theoretic stance, that judgements under theoretical disagreement are best expressed as credences that can be combined, updated, and acted on.

Adam Bales is a philosopher at the Australian National University whose work addresses how agents should reason and act under uncertainty, including disagreement among the theories that are supposed to guide the reasoning. That specialisation is exactly the problem AI consciousness assessment faces in 2026. The major theories disagree, the stakes are moral status and welfare, and most published assessments resolve the conflict by picking a theory without saying so.

The fourteen-author framework From Cacophony to Hierarchy, in which Bales is a co-author alongside researchers from Google DeepMind, Oxford and Sussex, states the disagreement instead of hiding it. Credences over five levels of functional description enter as an explicit input, indicator evidence carries likelihood ratios, and the output is an aggregated probability rather than a verdict. On the site’s taxonomy the framework is functionalist in its methodological commitment, supervenience of experience on organisation, and Bales’s decision-theoretic background is the part of the collaboration that makes its outputs usable for decisions made before the philosophy settles.

Known for. Decision-theoretic and normative methodology, co-author of the cacophony assessment framework

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