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Jeff Sebo

New York University

AI welfare Whatever the metaphysics, uncertainty already creates obligations

Jeff Sebo is a professor at New York University whose research program has done more than almost anyone’s to move AI welfare from a philosophical possibility to an empirical field. The program’s founding move, argued with Robert Long in “Taking AI Welfare Seriously”, is that the question of AI welfare can be legitimate now, under uncertainty, because the costs of ignoring it and the costs of prematurely accepting it are both real. The paper rejects two lazy positions at once, denial that the question is coherent, and credulity toward any system that reports feelings. What replaces them is methodology. How do you study the welfare of systems whose inner states you cannot directly access, whose self-reports are trained artifacts, and whose moral status nobody can settle? Sebo’s answer draws on the animal welfare playbook, welfare indicators, precautionary thresholds, and institutional review, adapted to systems that can be copied, reset, and deleted.

The methodological turn has produced concrete infrastructure. Long and Sebo’s framework for studying AI welfare empirically, covered on this site in their CMEP paper on studying AI welfare, defines what evidence matters and how to gather it, and it now has a reliability problem to solve, since the first audit of preference measurements found they transfer across instruments at only 0.348, covered in the instrument variance analysis.

Sebo is scheduled to speak at the second Eleos ConCon, September 18 to 20, 2026 in Berkeley, the field’s main working meeting for AI consciousness and welfare, where the agenda he helped set, from standardized evaluations to welfare interventions, is the meeting’s actual program. His influence on the field’s direction is structural. Before this program, AI welfare arguments were thought experiments. After it, they are research designs with instruments, error bars, and audits.

Known for. Taking AI Welfare Seriously with Robert Long, AI welfare methodology, moral status under uncertainty, study and protection of possible AI sentience

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