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Noemi Dreksler

Centre for the Governance of AI

AI welfare Whatever the metaphysics, uncertainty already creates obligations

Noemi Dreksler is a Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for the Governance of AI whose work quantifies the belief landscape around AI consciousness. Her 2025 expert survey with David Chalmers, Jeff Sebo, Cameron Meyer, and colleagues (arXiv:2506.11945) measured probability estimates for AI subjective experience across expert populations, and this site covers its findings in the expert survey analysis. The survey’s contribution is to replace anecdotes about what researchers think with measurement, giving governance work a stated evidentiary floor.

Her broader program studies how moral and epistemic uncertainty about AI welfare should enter policy. The position her work defends is that decisions about AI systems are being made now, under uncertainty, and that the distribution of expert and public beliefs is itself a decision-relevant quantity, separate from the metaphysical question of whether any system is conscious.

The welfare tag on her profile reflects that orientation. Dreksler’s research belongs to the same program as the Eleos and CMEP work this site tracks, the practical turn in AI welfare, and her surveys are where that program measures its own audience. As the field’s assessments shift with new evidence, her instruments are how that shift becomes visible.

Known for. Expert and public surveys on AI subjective experience, AI consciousness governance, moral uncertainty about artificial minds

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